Korea Lifts Growth Outlook to 3.2% but Cuts Jobs Forecast

■AI PRISM [News for New Employees] KDI Cuts Job Growth Forecast to 110,000 ChatGPT Growth Slows as Anthropic Turns Profitable China's Unitree Surges Sevenfold on Trading Debut

Finance|
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By Kim So-yoon (Intern)thdbs@sedaily.com
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null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea

▲ AI PRISM* Personalized Economic Briefing

* Editor's note: AI PRISM (Personalized Report & Insight Summarizing Media) is an AI-based customized news recommendation and summarization service developed with support from the Korea Press Foundation. It selects and provides six news items tailored to each reader type.

[Key Issue Briefing]

■ Jobs Fell Despite the Chip Boom: The Korea Development Institute (KDI) raised its forecast for this year's real gross domestic product (GDP) growth to 3.2%, but cut its projection for the increase in the number of employed people by 60,000, from 170,000 to 110,000. Because growth has concentrated in semiconductors, which generate few jobs, the labor market that new employees experience is far chillier than the growth rate suggests.

■ As OpenAI Wobbles, Anthropic Surges Ahead: OpenAI posted a second-quarter operating loss of $12.3 billion (about 17.3 trillion won), an increase of more than $3 billion from the previous quarter. The analysis is that leadership in the AI industry is rapidly shifting from ChatGPT-centered competition toward coding-focused tools such as Claude Code, prompting a rethink of which AI skills are worth acquiring.

■ China's Robot Industry Draws Explosive Response in Capital Markets: Unitree, a Chinese humanoid robot company, surged as much as 629% above its offering price on its first day of trading on the Shanghai exchange, lifting its market capitalization to around 92 trillion won. With investment enthusiasm for the robot industry showing signs of overheating, new employees considering jobs in the field need to weigh soberly the timing of commercialization and actual hiring demand.

[News of Interest for New Employees]

1. Growth Outlook Raised to 3.2% This Year, but Jobs Forecast Cut by 60,000

Summary: KDI set its growth forecast for this year at 3.2%, topping the government's projection (3.0%) as well as the Bank of Korea and IMF forecasts (2.6%). A surge in semiconductor exports drove growth, but because that growth concentrated in semiconductors, which generate few jobs, the projected increase in the number of employed people was lowered from 170,000 to 110,000. This reflects continued weak hiring in construction and non-semiconductor manufacturing, along with a slowdown in service-sector job growth. The head of KDI's economic outlook department said that "the economy people feel will be far worse than the growth rate." Since the fruits of chip-concentrated growth are not translating into income gains for most households, the point is that a cautious approach is needed in job strategy and industry choice.

2. As ChatGPT Growth Slows, OpenAI's Loss Widens to 17 Trillion Won

Summary: OpenAI's second-quarter operating loss was $12.3 billion (about 17.3 trillion won), more than $3 billion larger than in the first quarter ($9.3 billion). Revenue over the same period rose 18% to $6.7 billion, but unlike Anthropic, which turned profitable with Claude Code, its growth rate lagged behind competitors. OpenAI fought back by launching a "super app" that integrates its coding tool Codex with ChatGPT and a web browser, and by cutting the prices of two of its latest models, but internal turmoil is deepening, with the replacement of its chief revenue officer and a string of departures of key executives. As demand shifts toward coding- and work-focused tools over general-purpose AI in the competition among AI services, the analysis is that the choice of which AI tools new employees should focus on learning is becoming more important.

3. Unitree Jumps Sevenfold Right After Listing as Robot Firms Gain Fundraising Momentum

Summary: Unitree, a leading Chinese humanoid robot company, surged as much as 629% above its offering price on its first day of trading on the Shanghai exchange, sending its market capitalization to around 92 trillion won. Revenue also jumped more than fourfold, from about 75.6 billion won in 2024 to about 326.5 billion won last year, and the company held the world's largest market share (32.4%) by humanoid robot shipments last year. This listing is expected to trigger a wave of IPOs by Chinese robot companies such as AgiBot, Deep Robotics and LimX Dynamics, and industry enthusiasm is running high overall, with the World Robot Conference (WRC) running in Beijing through the 23rd. Still, with a price-to-earnings ratio (PER) of 219 based on the offering price — six times the industry average (38.56) — concerns about overvaluation have surfaced, and the point is that new employees considering robotics-related jobs need to closely examine the actual level of commercialization and the timing of job creation.

[News for Reference for New Employees]

4. SK hynix to Buy Back 40 Trillion Won in Shares, Unveils 'Dream Chip'

Summary: SK hynix's (000660.KS) board decided to buy back and cancel in full 24.07 million treasury shares worth 40 trillion won, the largest such move in the history of Korea's capital markets. On the same day, it also unveiled "hybrid memory" technology that combines DRAM and NAND-based SSDs; the key is that it maintains 70% of the performance of the existing DRAM approach while cutting costs by 78%. The technology is seen as a response to surging memory demand driven by the spread of AI services, and SK hynix plans to raise the ratio of funds for shareholder returns to more than 50% of free cash flow and announce additional shareholder-return plans, including a special dividend in October. For new employees aiming for the semiconductor industry, this is cited as a useful case for understanding AI infrastructure technology trends.

5. Hanwha's K9 Self-Propelled Howitzer Becomes First Korean Weapon Exported to the U.S.

Summary: Hanwha Defense USA, the U.S. unit of Hanwha Aerospace (012450.KS), signed a contract to supply the U.S. Army with six prototypes of the K9 wheeled self-propelled howitzer (K9MH), marking the first successful export of a Korean weapon to the United States. The contract is worth about 139.8 billion won for the six prototypes, and the total project cost including additional options reaches about 366.5 billion won. Once a formal contract follows, mass production is estimated at around 500 K9 units and the project at about 10 trillion won, and Hanwha Aerospace won the order on its own, beating defense powerhouses such as the United Kingdom, Germany and Israel. For new employees considering jobs in the defense industry, this is drawing attention as a case showing that Korean defense firms' global competitiveness is rising rapidly.

6. HD Hyundai Heavy Launches Landing Support Ship in Peru in First Successful Overseas Joint Build

Summary: HD Hyundai Heavy Industries held a launch ceremony for the Chimbote, the lead ship of a new landing support vessel, at Peru's SIMA shipyard, marking its first successful joint construction of a warship at an overseas site. Moving beyond exporting finished products from Korea, it was the first application of a "technology-cooperation local joint production" model, in which HD Hyundai Heavy Industries handles design and technical support while the local shipyard takes charge of block production and assembly. The Team Korea approach, in which the public and private sectors cooperated — including the Ministry of National Defense, the Defense Acquisition Program Administration, the Korean Embassy and KOTRA — is credited with broadening the horizons of K-warship exports. For new employees preparing for jobs in the shipbuilding and defense industries, this is cited as a case worth referencing for understanding the industry's shift from simple manufacturing toward an engineering business.

null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea

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Original reporting by Kim So-yoon (Intern) for Seoul Economic Daily.

AI-translated from Korean. Quotes from foreign sources are based on Korean-language reports and may not reflect exact original wording.

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